差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

美国股市在连跌之后回归涨势

美国股市在过去两周因美元主导地位而下跌后,重新恢复了上涨势头。在无法突破105的强劲阻力位后,随着美元指数走弱,市场似乎已逐渐回归风险偏好模式。这让投资者有更多理由再次分散股票投资。

美国总统在新闻发布会上发表积极言论,表示正在考虑减轻特朗普对中国商品征收的关税。这一声明为美国股市的投资创造了积极的环境。

从周一到现在,美国大部分股票都大幅上涨。

最近美国10年期国债收益率上升7个基点至2.86%,是投资者回归风险模式的一个明确指标。

苹果股价上涨4.1%;特斯拉上涨了1.67%;Netflix上涨了1%; Energy Transfer (ET)上涨1.44%;华特迪士尼公司上涨了3.33%;微软上涨了2.97%;谷歌上涨2.37%;特斯拉上涨了1.66%。

指数方面,标普500指数上涨1.87%,US100指数上涨1.68%,道指上涨2%。

影响股票价格的主要因素是什么?

三个主要因素决定投资者何时重返股市:

市场情绪

这是影响股票市场的一个重要因素。当风险偏好模式处于高位时,股市和其他风险资产再次上涨。风险规避法是指当投资者不愿意承担风险时。目前很明显投资者又重回押注模式。

利率

投资者倾向于回到风险较低的资产,并在利率高时购买政府债券。然而,美元指数最近的下跌表明,投资者正在重返大宗商品和股票市场。

10年期美债收益率

10年期美国公债收益率的上升一直被分析师用来衡量投资者何时重返风险偏好模式,并准备买入股票和大宗商品。美国10年期国债收益率上升表明,投资者购买政府债券的速度放缓。

我们可以发现这三个因素今天都具备,这表明目前的看涨势头可能会延续。

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