差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

考虑加息超过25基点 美汇或上试100

联储局主席鲍威尔早前在国会货币政策委员会听证会上表示,三月份联储局议息将会揭开逾两年来首次加息的序幕。鲍威尔指出,加息幅度至少25基点(0.25%),但亦可能考虑更高。联储局的最终决定,将会是本次议息结果的最大焦点。

 

更关注联储货币政策

美国2月消费者物价指数年率已创40年高峰升至7.9%,月率升至0.8%。市场认为,高企的通胀,若联储局加息仅25基点,甚至50基点,不足以压抑高企通胀。重点是联储局必须考虑周详而温和的加息步伐,同时规划合适的缩减宽松政策规模和降低美国资产负债表。所以,星期三晚必须留意联储局的加息幅度外,更关注其货币政策的内容和展望。有关内容将会是全球投资者洞悉局方今年内的收紧货币政策节奏和幅度的规划,直接影响市场投资气氛。

 

局势倘改善 英镑可试1.3270

近两星期,美国加息前景明朗化和东欧地缘政治局势紧张,使欧洲资金流向美元,推升美元至近2年高位99水平。若联储局的加息信号更加清晰和紧密,同时乌俄局势更加激烈,相信美元可受惠并测试100大关,或可能触及2020年5月高位100.54。相反,美元调整将会下探技术支持位97.73。

紧贴联储局议息后是英国央行议息。利率期货显示,英国央行将再度加息25基点,调高至0.75%。原因是英国2月份通胀再度突破高峰,根据英国央行近期积极利用加息的方法以压抑通胀,相信这次加息没有悬念。不过,由于乌俄关系紧张及西方国家联合制裁俄国,使英国经济面对更大的挑战。投资者观望局势发展态度审慎,英镑兑美元承压并跌至15个月低位。若地缘政治进一步升级,英镑兑美元可能下探更低1.2860。反之,局势明朗化和投资环境见改善,则可望收复失地,重试1.3270或1.3350阻力。

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