差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

英镑兑日元可能面临修正风险

英镑兑日元的汇率在195.98处出现了抛售,并且有可能出现修正。

GBPJPY – Daily Chart
英镑兑日元-日图

自3月份以来,英镑兑日元已经三次试图突破这一阻力位,多头可能就此妥协。192位似乎是进一步走软的首个目标。

香港时间下午2点公布的数据将是英国消费者价格指数,经济学家预计该数据为0.2%,此前一个月为1.2%。如果消费者陷入通缩,这可能对英镑不利。

日本央行周二没有出人意料的消息,将短期利率维持在0.5%不变。该汇率仍徘徊在2008年以来的最高水平,这让英镑在最近的阻力位上失去了一些动力。

如果市场预期日本将因关税而降息,那么他们可能不会减少对日元的看跌押注。

上田行长表示,通胀预期尚未达到2%的水平,并谈到了对关税影响未来工资的担忧。这种鸽派的信息是“谨慎、谨慎、谨慎”,日本央行可能要到2026年才会降息。

在债券市场,日本政府将承诺在2026年第二季度之前每个季度减少4000亿日元的购买,尽管最近市场出现了问题。然而,日本央行表示,到2027年第二季度,将把这一数字削减一半,至每季度2,000亿日元。

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