差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

储行本周议息 美元指数或闯105

上周欧央行决议落幕,由于该次决议内容基本符合市场预期,没有给市场预期更大的鹰派立场,这次欧洲央行议息结果保持融资,存款和贷款等三项指标利率不变。欧央行新闻发布重申,央行于7月1日始将结束资产买债计划(APP),预告7月议息将会加息25基点,9月将视乎通胀幅度决定加息幅度。欧罗兑美元在1.0750结束涨势。

本周为名副其实是超级央行周,美国、英国、瑞士和日本都将公布利率决议,而行情重点围绕联储局所展开的货币紧缩政策步伐,主导整个金融市场的关键。

市场预计联储局将继续宣布单次加息50个基点,将联邦指标利率上调至1.5厘,若符合市场预期加息举动本身不会对市场有太大波动,最重要的是接下来还会有多少次单次加息50基点的机会,或基于对经济放缓的忧虑,以及伴随通胀见顶的信号,在9月份开始暂停收紧货币政策。若联储局在这方面没有透露谨慎立场,而是坚持按原计划7月份加息加息50个基点,美汇指数可保持104上方,甚至因应联储局暗示9月份依然需要大幅度加息,美汇指数有机会挑战105或106水平。

英镑下行压力大

同样于周四公布利率决议的英国央行,关注点同样围绕在加息幅度和年内加息次数。市场关注央行是否透露9月份前会有一次性加息50个基点的可能,这是英镑潜在利好的重要指引之一,央行鹰调持续可能借此重返1.25关口上方。但另一方面市场已经开始忧虑其经济前景而开始削减幅度加息的预期,若加上英美利率拉濶,英镑下行压力会大于反弹机会,英镑兑美元或试穿上月低位1.2160,下试1.20关。

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