差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

联储理事偏鹰 美元再获支撑

联储局政策声明发布后,美元一度触及三星期高位96.95,随后因欧英两大央行的货币政策出现变化,美元跌至96边。上周五联储局理事沃勒发表鹰派言论及欧洲央行对变异株Omicron的担忧言论,削弱欧洲货币和风险敏感的货币,使美元再次受到支撑。

尽管本周市场迎来圣诞节假期,主要金融市场只有四个交易日,而且很多交易商和投资者都在假日的气氛中,预料市场波动幅度相对有限。不过,仍然有不少值得关注的欧洲及美国数据留待本周公布。

首先关注美国第三季度GDP及核心PCE,还有美国密歇根大学消费信心终值。目前市场认为美国经济的前景比预期乐观,加上预期第四季劳动力市场复苏,推动经济增长可能会比最初预期的更强劲。相信美元上升空间有可能扩大,测试97阻力。若美国数据未如理想,市场上或出现美元平仓盘,美元将有机会回试95.60。

 

澳联储或减购债

本周二澳洲联储纪要备受关注,因随着疫苗的普及,经济活动限制开始解除,并对新病毒的担忧有所缓解,市场认为澳洲联储可能考虑提前终止或削减其债券购买计划,这种预期可能支撑澳元兑美元上探0.7230。相反,若澳洲联储继续保守态度,澳元兑美元可能重返0.7090或有机会下探0.70边。

英国央行出乎意外升息后,投资者将关注周三公布的英国三季度GDP终值及经常帐。但随着英国政府启动新的防疫政策控制疫情扩散,加上央行启动升息后,相信会减慢英国经济复苏步伐似乎变得不可避免,使英镑有下行压力。技术上,英镑兑美元早前一度上试1.3374后最终被拒,若英国经济数据表现和预期均明显放缓,英镑兑美元有可能再试1.3170支撑或甚至更低。

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