差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

美通胀高企 市场忧更激烈加息 

上周美国4月CPI年率公布报8.3%,较上月8.5%稍微放缓,程度未能如市场预期回落至8.1%。就4月份的通胀数字,反映美国通胀仍然高企,通胀跟现时利率水平之濶,支持美国联储局主席鲍威尔和其他鹰派立场官员的加息言论,激发投资者对下月加息幅度可能高于50基点并展望今年内加息幅度可能扩大的忧虑,促使资金继续流入美元,美元指数持续刷新20年高位,同时美国10年期国债收益率维持逼近3%水平。 

继美国通胀公布后,本周更多欧洲及美国公布的最新通胀及其他跟消费市场有关的数据,市场观望是否见通胀触顶的信号。明晚,市场聚焦跟消费息息相关的美国4月零售销售,该结果足以影响美元兑其他货币及商品价格走势。 

其后,本周欧元区将公布4月CPI修正值和欧央行会议纪要。欧央行会议纪要内容可能会提及欧元区第三季初结束其购债刺激计划随后加息的安排,市场注视欧洲央行会否转鹰,引导资金回流欧元。欧洲央行自上周以来已经有相关立场的支撑,但是碍于美元企稳在20年高位,欧元技术上依然被困低位,兑美元跌破两周区间底部,本周看欧央行纪要是否够鹰,若配合汇价在2017年1月低点1.0340寻支撑,周线图可展望其双底形态形成后的反弹。 

近期英镑的连续走弱也吸引投资者关注,英镑兑美元于周线图见,创下2019年8月以来的最长连跌,本周英国公布最新就业数据和CPI,这两项数据的结果不止为英国经济把脉,若欠缺增长将难以抵消市场对于英国经济前景忧虑。最新预期英国央行在下半年可能会暂停加息,加上美元依然强势英镑仍以走弱为主,有机会继续向1.2000关口靠近,并在2020年3月低点寻找支撑。

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