华尔街银行财报季于周五启动

周五将迎来美国大型银行财报季的启动。

JPM – Daily Chart

摩根大通-日图

摩根大通股价在191-205.80美元区间上方交易。财报季可能考验摩根大通2024年的涨势。

今年以来,摩根大通的股价上涨了22%,分析师们将研究这个财报季,看看该行能否达到收入预期。

该行将于周五发布财报,加入花旗和富国银行的行列。高盛将于周一跟进,摩根士丹利将于周二跟进。

根据Visible Alpha编制的分析师估计,与花旗、富国银行和美国银行等竞争对手不同,摩根大通第二季度的净利息收入预计将高于上年同期。

美银证券分析师表示:“投资者将关注期待已久的净利息收入触底即将到来的迹象。”

商业房地产贷款可能是令银行头疼的一大问题,因为业主很难以更高的利率为贷款再融资。在房地产价格暴跌的同时,贷款拖欠也在增加。

杰富瑞分析师表示,鉴于最近令人失望的压力测试结果,股票回购计划可能放缓。摩根士丹利继续实施200亿美元的回购计划,预计将于2024年第三季度开始。高盛在2023年2月批准的300亿美元计划中,还有230亿美元未偿还。

杰富瑞预计,该行将从第三季度开始进行2.5亿美元的回购,较该行前两个季度设定的回购速度下降83%。

银行财报季将于周五开始,摩根大通、花旗集团和富国银行将公布最新业绩。根据普华永道的数据,交易撮合收入预计将成为银行本季的一大亮点,今年前5个月美国交易总额达到5350亿美元,增长30%。

尽管美国上个月的通胀有所放缓,但标准普尔500指数周四下跌了1%,银行收益将是股市的另一重考验。

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