随着汇价测试关键支撑位,美元兑日元重新被交易者所聚焦

随着美元兑日元在测试支撑位,可能会加剧市场的避险情绪。

USDJPY – Daily Chart

美元兑日元-日线图

美元兑日元正在测试149的支撑位,如果失败,可能会导致进一步的下行。

交易员们押注,随着日本通胀上升,日本央行今年将继续加息。上周公布的数据显示,日本1月份的核心通胀率触及19个月高点。此外,来自日本的服务业生产者价格指数强调了工资上涨正在说服企业将更高的成本转嫁给消费者的观点。对日本央行的鹰派预期也有助于推动日元走强。

在美元方面,市场担心特朗普总统将通过削减联邦工人水平和削减开支来提高效率,从而加剧经济衰退。总体而言,75,000名联邦工作人员接受了辞职方案,并将被添加到下一个工资数据中。b他的政府还开始了在全国范围内解雇试用联邦雇员的过程,大约有22万联邦雇员在火线上。

Ritholtz财富管理公司首席策略师Callie Cox表示,这两类人的总数将达到约30万人,相当于“美国历史上最大规模的裁员”。

在不确定时期,日元也被用作避险货币,这在政治和经济严重不确定的时期刺激了需求。交易应该谨慎,因为许多投机性资产正在测试支撑位,而英伟达在周三美国股市收盘后的业绩是一个高风险事件,可能成就市场,也可能破坏市场。

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地缘政治不确定性加剧,黄金突破4900美元创历史新高

周四,黄金价格飙升至每盎司4900美元以上的新高,延续了过去一年来令人瞩目的涨势,金价累计上涨超过70%。据主要市场数据来源显示,现货价格在最新一轮上涨中一度达到每盎司4920美元至4950美元的区间。 此次金价飙升主要归因于多种因素的共同作用,包括地缘政治紧张局势升级、市场对美联储降息的预期不断增强以及美元走软。随着实际收益率的下降,持有黄金的机会成本降低,而美元走软则使黄金对非美国投资者更具吸引力。

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