美元兑日元汇率等待日本GDP数据

美元兑日元汇率可能受到周一日本GDP增长数据的推动。

美元兑日元-日图

美元兑日元仍在150.00附近和156.75-1580.00阻力位之间交投。周末前连续两天的抛售可能会考验支撑位,但将由数据决定。

日本GDP数据将于香港时间早上7:50发布,预计第四季度增长率为0.3%。年增长率预计为1%,低于之前预测的1%。

周五,日本经济大臣表示,当局将对美国的关税做出适当回应。赤泽进一步表示,日元疲软对日本实体经济有多种影响。

美国经济仍存在一些问题,零售支出自去年8月以来首次下降。美国商务部说,1月份零售额较上月下降0.9%。这一数据远低于去年12月0.7%的增幅,也远低于经济学家预期的下降0.4%。通货膨胀对消费者来说仍然是一个问题,但信贷和较低的工资可能是主要原因。

上个月,消费者在多个类别的支出都有所下降,专卖店和汽车经销商受到的打击最大,支出分别下降了4.6%和3%。零售商和美食广场的销售额几乎占全国总支出的三分之一。美国经济是由消费支出驱动的,消费支出约占经济产出的70%。

中国对从美国进口的大排量汽车征收10%的额外关税于周一生效。与汽车产量相比,出口量很小,但这种情绪导致投资者对各种投资领域感到担忧。

美国前财政部长拉里·萨默斯也表示,关税可能会导致更高的通货膨胀。

“这是对美国经济的自我伤害,”萨默斯表示。“我预计未来三四个月的通胀率将因此更高,因为当你对人们购买的商品征税时,价格水平就会上升。”

由于消费者紧张,关税也将导致对海外产品的需求放缓,并将损害出口商。

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