特朗普关税威胁使美元走强,黄金回落

周四,由于美元走强和美国总统唐纳德·特朗普持续威胁要提高贸易关税,黄金价格从历史高位回落。

尽管在关税上调和美国经济降温的前景下,黄金出现了避险需求,但金价从创纪录高位遭遇获利回吐,难以突破每盎司3000美元的水平。

有关俄罗斯和乌克兰可能在美国斡旋下达成和平协议的报道进一步抑制了避险需求。

美元从近期低点反弹,也对整体金属价格构成压力。现货黄金下跌0.9%,至2890.73美元/盎司,4月份到期的黄金期货下跌0.9%,至2903.39美元/盎司。

尽管金价创下历史新高,但预计本周仍将出现下跌。

黄金价格在本周初达到每盎司2965.37美元的历史新高,主要受特朗普威胁对主要商品和美国贸易伙伴征收额外贸易关税的避险需求推动。特朗普还概述了针对中国的措施,这可能重新点燃世界最大经济体之间的贸易战。然而,获利回吐打击了金价,目前预计本周金价将下跌1.4%至2%。

周三,特朗普宣布即将对欧洲征收25%的关税,但表示对加拿大和墨西哥征收25%的关税可能会从原定的下周截止日期推迟到4月初。

美元从近三个月低点反弹,令整体金属价格承压。铂金期货下跌0.2%,至973.20美元/盎司,白银期货下跌0.7%,至32.050美元/盎司。

在特朗普本周威胁要对这种红色金属进口征收关税后,铜价涨跌互现。由于任何进口关税都可能限制国内供应,将于5月到期的美国铜期货本周料将上涨。由于美国进口关税将限制对海外铜的需求,伦敦金属交易所的基准铜期货周跌幅将超过1%。

美元将结束连续三周的跌势。投资者在关键的第四季国内生产总值数据将于今日晚些时候公布前仓位调整。个人消费支出价格指数——美联储偏爱的通胀指标——将于周五公布,预计该数据也将影响利率前景。

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