特斯拉1月29日(周三)的业绩展望

电动汽车制造商特斯拉的股价在大选后的反弹在进入年底后逐渐消退。

TSLA – Daily Chart

特斯拉-每日图表

特斯拉的价格已经回落至406美元的水平,并有进一步下跌的风险,以测试360-375美元附近的支撑位。

特斯拉未来的收益将考验投资者对埃隆·马斯克公司高估值的决心。Wedbush Securities分析师丹·艾夫斯对人工智能可以帮助该公司持乐观态度。

他说:“我认为,推动股价上涨的90%是自动驾驶和人工智能的未来,因为这是最终的故事。”“仅自动驾驶部分就可能价值1万亿美元。”

鉴于特朗普总统可能会改变电动汽车监管规定,艾夫斯表示:“我认为,股票实际上低估了这对网络出租车、自动驾驶消防处机器人技术的影响。这就是为什么我认为有2万亿美元的市值。”

艾夫斯补充道:“我相信,下周将是重要的一年。”

分析师预计,特斯拉第四季度的营收将达到272.7亿美元,净利润约为23.1亿美元,合每股65美分。去年同一季度,特斯拉的营收为251.7亿美元,净利润为79.3亿美元。

由于该公司本季度的生产和交付数据低于预期,人们对即将到来的收益感到担忧。这导致特斯拉全年汽车交付量首次同比下降。

Wedbush、摩根士丹利和Piper Sandler的分析师都将特斯拉的目标股价分别上调至550美元、430美元和500美元。

Piper Sandler认为,投资者需要等待一年才能全面了解特斯拉的新车和自动驾驶路线。

在经济不确定的情况下,特斯拉仍然面临着一些挑战,利润率承压,竞争也在加剧。该公司在美国电动汽车市场的份额已从2022年的63%降至50%,而比亚迪和蔚来等中国竞争对手仍在迎头赶上。在自动驾驶汽车领域,特斯拉的全自动驾驶系统仍处于2级,需要人工监督,而Alphabet旗下的Waymo等竞争对手已经转向机器人出租车驾驶员。

特斯拉必须在即将到来的收益中拿出一些好东西,以避免股价在近期出现回调。

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