交付量疲软导致特斯拉股价下跌

特斯拉(NYSE:TSLA)股价周三开盘下跌-6%,此前该公司公布的交付量低于分析师的预期。

TSLA - Daily Chart

TSLA – 每日图表

TSLA 的价格已触及 264.95 美元的阻力位,这阻碍了向更高目标的进展。下降趋势线在 200 美元处重新发挥作用。

特斯拉报告称,2024 年第三季交付量为 462,890 辆,汽车产量为 469,796 辆,低于分析师的预期。 FactSet 预计截至 9 月 30 日的季度交付量为 463,310 辆。

尽管特斯拉在其财务数据中没有注明“交付量”,但它被视为最接近销量的指标,并且是华尔街在每次获利报告之前的关键数据。一年前,该公司交付了 435,059 辆汽车,生产了 430,488 辆汽车,而上季度报告的交付量为 443,956 辆。由于中国竞争加剧和欧洲销售下降,该公司的成长并未达到预期。

Piper Sandler 分析师 Alexander Potter 先前预计第三季电动车销量将达到 459,000 辆,全年销量将达到 175 万辆。同时,巴克莱银行(Barclays)分析师预计第三季销量将达到47万辆,理由是全球电动车销量和中国8月的强劲数据。 Dan Levy 表示:“我们的交付量预计意味着销量将环比增长约 6%,同比增长约 8%。” 「我们相信,在机器人出租车日到来之前,这一节拍可能会进一步推动股票走强」。

令人失望的结果意味着 10 月 10 日的机器人计程车事件将成为特斯拉股价今年剩余时间走势的关键因素。

Wedbush 分析师 Dan Ives 预计特斯拉的销售和获利能力将有所改善。艾夫斯表示:“降价大多已成为过去,消除了利润悬而未决的问题……我们认为,毛利率最终应该在第三季度开始反弹。”

标准普尔全球行动数据显示,特斯拉 7 月已售出超过 5,000 辆 Cybertruck,今年迄今销量超过 17,000 辆。德意志银行预计第三季销售 13,500 辆。尽管新车仅占总销量的3%,但Cybertruck可能会影响特斯拉能否实现总交付目标。

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