英镑兑日元汇率聚焦英国央行利率决议

在英国央行召开利率会议之前,英镑兑日元反弹。

GBPJPY – Daily Chart

英镑兑日元-日线图

英镑兑日元已从191.50的支撑位反弹,并进行了为期三天的反弹。在日本央行拒绝接受更高的价格水平后,价格可能会遇到阻力。英镑兑日元的必要支撑位将出现在191.50-192。

该货币对将于上午9:50发布日本数据,下午1:00发布日本央行意见摘要,晚上7:00发布经济指标,随后是英国央行。

随着日本央行的干预,英镑兑日元进一步走高可能会创造卖出机会。

Aegon的Iain Buckle表示:“对英国和欧洲来说,要朝着与美联储截然不同的方向前进将非常困难。”

“英国央行和欧洲央行可以开始行动,但他们无法在没有美联储的情况下行动,也无法在没有美联储的情况下继续行动,” Aegon的Nick Chatters补充道。尽管英国央行“希望”在6月降息,但他们可能只能“在没有美联储的情况下两次降息”。

市场需要厘清英国央行发出的复杂信息,首席经济学家休•皮尔认为,利率可能会在更长时间内维持在较高水平。保持利率稳定可能会导致英镑升值,但日本央行将不愿看到日元进一步承压。

日本央行行长植田和男周三重申,如果日元贬值对物价产生重大影响,日本央行可能会采取货币政策措施。这是最强烈的暗示,表明中国央行可能采取除汇率干预之外的进一步行动。

植田和男对国会表示,”我们需要注意汇率波动对通胀的影响正变得比过去更大的风险”,因企业寻求提高价格和工资。

日本财务大臣铃木俊一周三也表示,他对日元走软的负面影响感到”强烈担忧”,例如进口成本上升。他提醒市场,日本政府准备再次干预市场。

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