白银价格(XAGUSD)因实物买盘获得动力

现货白银:对实物白银的抢购帮助将价格推向最近的高点。

xagusd,silver,spot

白银-周图

白银的价格正在接近最近的阻力位34.20美元,突破高位可能会再次推动反弹。

近几个月来,人们一直在推动将现货白银带到美国境内,导致COMEX库存大幅上升,自去年12月以来增加了60%。

虽然官方的解释指向特朗普政府可能对进口白银征收关税,但这种抢购可能还有其他原因。自去年12月以来,最知名的实物白银交易所交易产品Sprott实物白银信托(Sprott physical silver Trust)交易量激增,进一步证实了对实物白银的争夺。非实物支持的iShares Silver Trust同期表现平平,突显出投资者明显偏爱实物白银支持的产品。

近期金价飙升的另一个原因是,金价今年创下新高。过去一年,黄金表现优异,而白银表现落后,但这种情况可能即将改变。相对于黄金,白银仍然被严重低估,这种动态的调整可能即将到来。

由于金价目前保持在关键的3,000美元心理位上方,因此趋势仍为上行。黄金的这种持续看涨势头应该会为白银的走势创造强劲的推动力。

白银的前景越来越多地与全球经济中的通胀进展联系在一起。特朗普总统的互惠关税将于4月2日生效,人们普遍预计这将推高进口价格。经济学家估计,通胀影响可能超过一个百分点,而美联储官员预计通胀会暂时飙升,其他人则警告称,压力会持续更长的时间,这增加了利率决策的不确定性。

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