大选前德国股市在高位回撤发出警告

周三德国股市飙升至历史高点后大幅回落。

GER 30 – Daily Chart

GER 30 -日线图

德国30指数(GER 30)周三飙升至22800点上方的历史高点,但此后大跌至22444点。更关键的支撑可能低至21,200点。

欧股本周跳升至纪录高位,因欧洲各国政府可能增加军事预算,提振防务类股。

随着全球关系的转变,美国减少了对欧洲防务的参与,欧洲领导人呼吁增加国防开支,这可能会增加政府借贷。欧元区债券收益率被推高,银行股上涨1.9%,公用事业股下跌。国防股上涨,莱昂纳多、瑞典萨博和法国泰利斯公司领涨。

美国国防部长皮特·海格塞斯也证实了特朗普政府不向乌克兰派遣美国军队的决定。这一声明是在访问德国之后发表的,他强调了欧洲国家加强国防投资的重要性。

“欧洲大陆理应免受任何侵略,但应该是那些在单独和集体防御方面投入最多的邻国。”

高盛补充称,随着投资者积极关注不同类型的股票,欧洲的估值正在被提振,并称欧洲银行股是回报的推动者。高盛分析师表示:“这是我们多年未见的价值与增长的组合。”

德国将于周日举行事关重大的大选,市场一直在消化一个近乎完美的结果。然而,德国新选择党(AfD)有获胜的风险,即便是亲市场的领跑者获胜,也可能导致联合政府谈判延长。

交易商现在可能在周末前了结获利,以消化周一的选举结果。

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