英镑兑澳元汇率将迎来关键经济数据集中的一天

在近期寻获支撑之后,英镑兑澳元汇率周二将有重要数据出炉。

GBPAUD - Daily Chart

英镑兑澳元——日线图

英镑兑澳元最近在2.048的水平找到了支撑,未来一周对近期走势很重要。

数据将于周二公布,澳大利亚储备银行将于香港时间下午12:30公布最新利率决定。定于下午1:30举行的新闻发布会,往往比决策本身更重要。

英国随后将在香港时间下午2点公布就业数据,经济学家预计失业率将保持在4.7%。该国上个月增加了13.4万个就业岗位,并有望再创造一个强劲的月份。

澳大利亚储备银行在7月份的会议上出人意料地将利率维持在3.85%。市场目前已经完全消化了周二会议降息25个基点的预期。根据路透社的一项调查,经济学家认为央行可能在今年年底前再次降息。一些人预计到年底还会再削减50%,这可能会推动英镑本周走高。

澳大利亚就业市场放缓和通胀走弱的迹象是即将降息的原因。澳大利亚6月份消费者价格指数降至2.7%,失业率上升至4.3%。澳大利亚的主要银行(澳新银行、澳大利亚联邦银行、澳大利亚国民银行和西太平洋银行)预计,到今年年底,利率将达到3.35%。

澳储行周二的言论应该会决定本周在关键支撑位附近的走势。

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