尽管发生波兰无人机事件,欧元兑美元汇率仍走高

欧元兑美元汇率周四上涨,受美国数据影响盖过了俄罗斯无人机进入波兰领空的消息。

EURUSD – Daily Chart

欧元兑美元-日线图

欧元兑美元在关键的1.1800之前有一些上方阻力。下行支撑位集中在4月份以来的1.1570上方。

欧元受到进一步降息预期降低的提振,欧洲央行周四一如预期维持利率不变。

与此同时,美国8月消费者物价指数升幅超过预期,通胀年率增幅为七个月来最大。美国劳工部的数据显示,消费者价格指数在7月份上涨0.2%之后,8月份上涨0.4%。

“CPI没有市场预期的那么高。最终,最大的担忧是,如果CPI增速超过预期,疲弱就业数据带来的鸽派情绪将会消散,” Moneycorp的Eugene Epstein对路透表示。

“但这并没有真正实现。每个人都希望CPI走软,但关键是,这些数据并没有真正改变美联储利率的方向或指针。”

就业数据显示,本周初请失业金人数增加2.7万人,经季节调整后为26.3万人。路透调查的经济学家此前预计,上周初请失业金人数为23.5万人。

这是很长一段时间以来,CPI首次让位于其他数据。这种动态将意味着,美联储可能会继续按计划在下周降息25个基点。

欧元也淡化对俄罗斯无人机飞入波兰领空的消息。这可能导致该地区爆发一场更广泛的战争,如果战争升级,美元的避风港可能会转移。

最近的新闻
由于鲍威尔中性基调削弱美元,欧元兑美元反弹

欧元兑美元周二攀升至1.16上方,受助于美联储主席鲍威尔的谨慎政策立场,以及法国政治紧张局势暂时缓和,此前法国政府暂停了备受争议的养老金改革。 鲍威尔在一个经济论坛上发表讲话,重申了“逐次会议”的利率决策方式,并表示劳动力市场的风险现在比通胀担忧更重要。虽然他指出,经济仍比预期强劲,但他承认就业方面的脆弱性日益增加,这增强了人们对进一步放松货币政策的预期。

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