英国国债收益率上升,欧元兑英镑汇率反弹

由于英国国债收益率攀升,欧元兑英镑汇率走高。

EURGBP – Daily Chart

欧元兑英镑-日走势图

在最近的抛售平息后,欧元兑英镑的价格在周三反弹。该货币对仍然在上升趋势线之外,需要回到上升趋势线之上才能反弹得更高。

欧元兑英镑汇率聚焦香港时间下午15:30HCOB制造业和服务业PMI数据。德国和欧元区都会公布最新数据,这可能对欧元兑美元的未来走势有重要影响。欧元正试图反弹,但可能会失败。

英国经济仍面临压力,在通胀上升后面临艰难抉择。根据英国国家统计局的数据,英国的通货膨胀率上升到3.8%,是自2024年1月以来的最高水平

这一增长在很大程度上受到机票价格飙升的推动,由于学校假期价格上涨,机票价格上涨了30.2%。由于牛肉、咖啡和橙汁等商品价格上涨,食品价格通胀率也达到4.9%。

英国财政大臣雷切尔·里夫斯表示,“还有更多的工作要做,以降低生活成本”,因为该国也面临着预算压力,这将继续增加税收。经济压力正在影响政府借贷成本,目前政府借贷成本处于27年来未见的水平。30年期国债的收益率目前为5.61%,接近1998年5月的水平。

指标10年期英国国债收益率也走高,上涨0.05个百分点至4.74%。与德国的借贷成本相比,英国30年期国债目前也处于14年来的高位。

分析人士目前预计,欧洲央行可能会在9月份再次降息。然而,美国和英国最近的通胀上升可能会让两国的计划搁浅。

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