全球市场疲软拖累中国股市走低,关注区间支撑位

受全球疲软拖累,中国主要股指正逼近支撑位。

CHINA 50 – Daily Chart

中国50指数 – 日线图

中国50指数周二涨幅放缓,下一个目标位是14761点,该点位在10月和11月曾提供支撑。

中国股市也受到监管力度加大的威胁。中国证监会誓言将加强监管,打击过度投机。此前,股市成交量接近十年高位,创下历史新高。交易所宣布,将从1月19日起将最低保证金比例从80%提高到100%。

上周三,境内股票成交额接近4万亿元人民币,创历史新高,超过了2024年10月创下的3.48万亿元人民币的纪录。据CNBC报道,此次成交额激增引发了监管机构的担忧,因为此前市场曾出现过类似2015年的过度投机事件。

摩根士丹利分析师写道:“监管收紧的举措导致我们的市场情绪指标飙升至过热水平,成交量也创下历史新高。”不过,他们预计A股和港股的流动性在第一季度仍将保持强劲。

数据显示,近几个月来,外资净流入持续超过500亿美元。美国大型对冲基金桥水基金表示,在2025年中国股市有望上涨45%(创多年来最佳业绩)之后,他们仍然看好中国股市。

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