受ETF资金外流和华尔街影响,中国股市下跌

一些投资者在最近的上涨中获利回吐后,中国股市下跌。

CH 50 – Daily Chart

中国日线图

中国50指数可能希望测试5月初突破的下行阻力线12200点。在那里找到支撑可能会让金价再次走高。

根据彭博汇编的数据,上海和深圳的股票ETF在5月份总共遭遇了42亿美元的撤资。这超过了投资者在前两个月的投资总额。

瑞银投资银行中国策略主管James Wang表示:“过去几周流入股市的大部分资金可能是押注房地产政策预期的‘快钱’。”他表示,由于刺激力度弱于预期,“可能有抛售的冲动”。

尽管最近出现了一些抛售,但中国股市的市场广度有所改善。

自今年1月以来,摩根士丹利资本国际中国指数上涨近30%,推动约半数成分股突破200日移动均线。这是一个好兆头,在接下来的几个月里,这一比例通常会扩大到80%。

相比之下,美国股市的反弹是围绕着所谓的“壮丽七巨头”展开的,英伟达和微软等股票构成了股指反弹的大部分。

在摩根士丹利资本国际中国指数从1月份低点反弹的过程中,消费科技和金融类股表现最好,房地产和材料类股涨幅超过40%。在进一步的刺激措施出台后,市场目前预计设备制造商、出口商和地产股等更广泛的行业将出现复苏。

法国巴黎银行亚洲资产管理公司的Chi Lo表示:“鉴于宏观信贷风险状况的改善以及经济复苏,随着复苏的扩大,中小型股将受益。”

华尔街的疲软也在周五拖累了亚洲股市。然而,美国股指在上周五收盘前大幅反弹,亚洲股市可能强势开盘。

最近的新闻
黄金反弹至4100美元上方,因投资者在美国CPI公布前调整仓位

周四金价回升至4100美元上方,XAUUSD现货黄金报4145美元,上涨1.1%,因投资者在周五关键的美国通胀报告出炉前重新调整头寸。此前,中国股市连续两天大幅下跌,周二出现五年来最大单日跌幅。 金价反弹之际,地缘政治紧张局势再起,美国前总统特朗普对中国的贸易言论略有软化,这些因素重振了对传统避险货币的需求。特朗普政府宣布对俄罗斯石油巨头卢克石油公司和俄罗斯石油公司实施新的制裁,以应对莫斯科在乌克兰的战争,这增强了黄金的吸引力。

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