中国股市淡化近期数据影响而继续走高

中国50指数在近期阻力位的挤压下走高,也在测试2024年末的高点。这可能是对市场中期趋势的一个重要考验。

CHINA 50 – Daily Chart

中国50日线图

周一,上证综合指数上涨0.9%,收于3728点,这是自2015年8月以来的最大涨幅。自4月至5月关税触底以来,该指数已回升20%。中美贸易谈判延期提振了股市,人们希望能达成协议。

上海紫歌投资管理有限公司基金经理王欢表示:“我们相信,这次反弹是有支撑的。”

投资者仍对政府将出台进一步刺激措施抱有希望。随着分析师降低对货币宽松政策的预期,投资者从固定收益产品转向中国股市,这提振了中国股市。

中国股市的复苏创造了一个交易热潮,周一大陆交易所的成交额超过2.7万亿元人民币(3760亿美元)。据彭博社报道,这是有史以来第二高的营业额。中国投资者也在大举买入香港上市股票,上周五的购买量达到创纪录的359亿港元(合46亿美元)。

然而,一份令人担忧的报告称,全球最大的对冲基金桥水基金已在第二季度抛售了所持的所有中国公司股票。一份监管报告称,他们出售了包括阿里巴巴集团、京东和PDD控股在内的公司。其他股票包括bbo、电动汽车制造商蔚来和Trip.com。

该公司一直青睐中国股票,但在最近的关税交锋后,可能会重新考虑。这只对冲基金重新买入了英伟达、微软和Alphabet的国内股票。

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