澳元兑美元汇率聚焦数据等待突破的测试

在关键经济数据公布之前,澳元兑美元正寻求突破阻力位。

AUDUSD – Daily Chart

澳元美元-日图

澳元兑美元汇率周三大涨,测试了近期0.67附近的阻力位。周三将公布两大货币的数据将确认汇价突破或修正。

关键的美国数据在亚洲市场开盘之前发布,同时还有美联储的利率决定和新闻发布会。交易员预计利率方面不会有任何变动,他们将关注新闻发布会,以寻找美国利率走势的线索。

周三,在美国通胀数据弱于预期之后,澳元飙升。尽管年通胀率仅比预期低0.1%,但这点燃了全球货币兑美元汇率的上行。

美联储主席鲍威尔的言论决定澳元能否继续突破当前阻力位的因素。交易员们目前预计美国9月份将降息。

澳大利亚就业数据于香港时间上午9:30公布。交易员预计,3月份将增加3万个就业岗位,高于上月的38.5万个。失业率可能会维持在4%左右。

本周公布的数据显示,澳大利亚商业信心指数转为负值,经济状况降至平均水平以下,暗示高利率继续给消费者带来压力。

NAB分析师称,”总体而言,澳洲央行的消息喜忧参半。”“经济增长前景出现了警告信号,但与此同时,我们有理由对通胀前景保持高度警惕,我们预计澳大利亚央行将在一段时间内维持利率不变,以应对这些截然不同的风险。”

尽管经济走弱,但交易员们仍关注着美国的利率前景。

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