澳元兑美元汇率等待澳洲联储利率决议

澳元兑美元汇率将在周二聚焦澳大利亚储备银行最新利率决定。

AUDUSD – Daily Chart

澳元兑美元-日图

澳元兑美元汇率在近期阻力位0.6798上方交投,并瞄准2024年前期高点0.6870这一更大的障碍。

澳储行将于香港时间周二下午12:30公布最新利率政策。不太可能在9月份的会议上向借款人提供利率下调,因为澳大利亚的通胀率仍居高不下。

自2023年底以来,澳大利亚央行一直将利率维持在4.35%,以寻求紧缩借贷和减缓通货膨胀。该行董事会将从周一开始召开为期两天的会议,并于周二下午发布决定和新闻发布会。

澳大利亚央行表示,澳大利亚的情况与许多其他国家不同,在通胀方面的进展较慢。澳元的进一步定价数据也将于周三公布。澳大利亚统计局的月度数据可能显示,8月份消费者价格指数下降0.2%。分析师预计年化通胀率为2.7%,低于7月份的3.5%。

周二晚间晚些时候,美国最新消费者信心数据将对该货币对产生进一步影响。市场可能对任何负面结果都不以为然,因为最新的50个基点降息将需要时间来影响消费者信心。

美联储实施了自2008年金融危机以来最大规模的降息,将注意力从抗击通胀转向保护日益疲软的劳动力市场。

最近的新闻
由于英国就业强劲,美国通胀走软,英镑兑美元扩大涨幅

周二,由于英国和美国的经济数据为英镑提供了支撑,英镑兑美元汇率走高,涨幅约为0.5%。 英国劳动力市场数据令人惊喜,新申请失业救济的人数下降了6.2万人,远低于预期的20.8万人。相比之下,平均盈利增长放缓的幅度大于预期,有助于缓解通胀压力。在大西洋彼岸,美国7月份消费者价格指数(CPI)数据几乎没有改善,但仍然足够低迷,维持了美联储9月份可能降息的预期。

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