澳元兑纽元汇率继续走高

新西兰经济即将公布消费者价格数据,这可能会影响澳元兑纽元走势。

AUDNZD – Daily Chart

澳元兑纽元-日图

澳元兑纽元在最近测试了1.11之后仍然处于高位。最新数据可能决定市场是回调还是再次走高。

新西兰CPI数据将于香港时间上午5:45公布,预计为2.1%。这将低于2.2%的通胀率,而更低的通胀率可能会伤及该货币对

香港时间上午8点,西太平洋银行将发布澳大利亚领先指标报告。澳大利亚经济在就业方面保持了弹性,但批评人士表示,许多人来自公共部门。

随着通货膨胀率回到目标水平,预计澳大利亚储备银行将在明年降息。

澳大利亚央行一直将利率保持在4.35%,而新西兰的利率为4.25%。但新西兰元最近因经济恶化而被抛售。未来一年的价格走势将在很大程度上取决于各国央行,因为交易员们要看谁先行动,行动幅度有多大。

经济学家预计,新西兰的年通胀率将与新西兰央行在12月当季的预测一致。这可能导致2月份降息50个基点。在澳大利亚,联邦银行的Gareth Aird表示,最近的劳动力市场数据和工资下降支持了利率可以下调的观点。

他说:“澳大利亚应该能够将失业率维持在4%左右,并将通胀维持在目标区间内。”

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