差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

供應收緊帶動美國原油價格走高

油價週四上漲,結束了最近的下跌。 投資者預計石油輸出國組織(OPEC)產油國聯盟的供應將趨緊,預計該聯盟將繼續減產。

USOIL – Daily Chart

USOIL -日圖

美國油價正逆上漲趨勢線進行交易,這一趨勢線成功地限制了油價。 下一個阻力位在85美元左右。

根據美國能源情報署(EIA)的數據,自上週原油和汽油庫存意外增加以來,油價一直處於壓力之下,因為進口增加和汽油需求低迷。

然而,原油庫存的增幅低於美國石油協會(API)的預測,分析師指出,這一增幅低於今年這個時候的預期。

SEB分析師Bjarne Schieldrop表示:「我們預計美國石油庫存的成長將低於正常水平,這反映出全球石油市場出現小幅赤字。」這可能會在未來支撐布蘭特原油價格。 」

投資者將密切關注下週的OPEC會議,以尋找有關石油產量走勢的線索。 一些地緣政治風險的增加,提高了供應中斷的預期。 然而,在6月的全體會議之前,歐佩克不太可能改變其石油產量政策。

「我們沒有看到任何跡象表明,近期由俄羅斯基礎設施風險加劇導致的油價上漲,將促使下週的JMMC會議出現政策逆轉。」RBC分析師說。

“任何重大的轉變都可能要等到6月1日的部長級會議,即使到那時,我們相信,在取消任何削減措施方面,歐佩克將非常明智。”

分析師還將考慮最近導致巴爾的摩海港關閉的事故。 2023年,約有5,200萬噸國際貨物通過該港口,價值約808億美元。 大約4900輛卡車必須改變路線,燃料成本可能會上升。

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