差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

聯儲理事偏鷹 美元再獲支撐

聯儲局政策聲明發布後,美元一度觸及三星期高位96.95,隨後因歐英兩大央行的貨幣政策出現變化,美元跌至96邊。上週五聯儲局理事沃勒發表鷹派言論及歐洲央行對變異株Omicron的擔憂言論,削弱歐洲貨幣和風險敏感的貨幣,使美元再次受到支撐。

儘管本週市場迎來聖誕節假期,主要金融市場只有四個交易日,而且很多交易商和投資者都在假日的氣氛中,預料市場波動幅度相對有限。不過,仍然有不少值得關注的歐洲及美國數據留待本周公布。

首先關注美國第三季度GDP及核心PCE,還有美國密歇根大學消費信心終值。目前市場認為美國經濟的前景比預期樂觀,加上預期第四季勞動力市場復甦,推動經濟增長可能會比最初預期的更強勁。相信美元上升空間有可能擴大,測試97阻力。若美國數據未如理想,市場上或出現美元平倉盤,美元將有機會回試95.60。

 

澳聯儲或減購債

本週二澳洲聯儲紀要備受關注,因隨著疫苗的普及,經濟活動限制開始解除,並對新病毒的擔憂有所緩解,市場認為澳洲聯儲可能考慮提前終止或削減其債券購買計劃,這種預期可能支撐澳元兌美元上探0.7230。相反,若澳洲聯儲繼續保守態度,澳元兌美元可能重返0.7090或有機會下探0.70邊。

英國央行出乎意外升息後,投資者將關注週三公佈的英國三季度GDP終值及經常帳。但隨著英國政府啟動新的防疫政策控制疫情擴散,加上央行啟動升息後,相信會減慢英國經濟復甦步伐似乎變得不可避免,使英鎊有下行壓力。技術上,英鎊兌美元早前一度上試1.3374後最終被拒,若英國經濟數據表現和預期均明顯放緩,英鎊兌美元有可能再試1.3170支撐或甚至更低。

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