差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

多头重占欧元/日元走势主导

在市场对日本央行加息预期降低后,多头重新掌控了欧元/日元汇率走势。

EURJPY – Daily Chart

欧元/日元 – 日线图

欧元/日元从181.00附近的支撑位反弹至184.50附近。阻力位明显在185.00上方。

周三,欧元/日元汇率连续第二个交易日走强,此前有报道称,日本首相已向日本央行表达了对加息的担忧。

日本央行原本计划进一步加息以应对持续的通胀。但首相高市早苗一直坚持刺激经济和促进经济增长的政策纲领,这与央行的立场相悖。

交易员减少了对4月份即将加息的押注,欧元因此走强。明天,即将卸任的欧洲央行行长拉加德将于香港时间下午3:30发表讲话。根据彭博社对经济学家的调查,拉加德预计将在任期结束前卸任欧洲央行行长,为克拉斯·诺特接任铺平道路。

超过半数的受访者表示,拉加德将在今年卸任,而只有不到30%的受访者预测她会完成八年任期,该任期将于明年10月结束。

经济学家表示,如果拉加德选择提前离任,曾担任荷兰央行行长的诺特很可能接任。

此前有报道称,拉加德将在法国大选前卸任,以便总统马克龙能够帮助她寻找继任者,这引发了人们对拉加德的质疑。拉加德本人否认了提前离任的传闻,但她的继任者不太可能彻底改变欧洲央行的政策方向。

美国最高法院最近一项阻止特朗普加征关税的裁决使一项贸易协议陷入停滞,这最终可能会提振欧元。

关于作者

 

Martin Lam 是 ATFX 亚太区首席分析师,在全球外汇及投资市场拥有逾 20 年的经验。他毕业于迪肯大学(Deakin University),主修金融与经济学,并曾在多家领先的外汇经纪公司担任高级管理职位。

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