差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

大宗商品:在日益複雜的俄烏危機中,原油、黃金和白銀成為避險資產

一直以來,原油黃金和白銀大宗商品似乎是投資者在戰爭、不確定和不穩定時期的避風港——投資者傾向於利用這些商品來規避貨幣波動和貨幣對沖。

在懸而未決的俄羅斯-烏克蘭危機中,這三種商品投資者唯一可行的投資選擇,再度有望水漲船高並達到歷史最高水準。

拿原油來說,已經連續三個月保持穩步上漲,達到每桶107.60美元的新高價。

原油價格進一步飆升,一個重要原因是目前針對俄羅斯這一東部原油的主要供應商的制裁以及此次危機對運輸造成的阻礙。 基於切斷俄羅斯能源出口的提議,WTI原油價格本周可能會延續漲勢,這已經讓煉油商和運輸商暫停了行動。

原油價格正快速逼近110美元心理關口,多頭仍然完全控制著局面。 誠然,我們也猜測來到這個區間后是否會是個空頭市場;然而,如果危機持續,原油接下來可能會漲到120美元。 當然,美國總統拜登最近禁止俄羅斯航班使用美國領空,這也將促成原油價格比預期更快地達到每桶120美元,尤其是萬一擬議的和平談判失敗的話。

同樣,黃金也在和原油一起發揮自己的影響力。 受危機影響,黃金在新的一周上漲勢頭強勁,創下了1973美元的新高。 從昨天開始,黃金一直在進行大量的獲利回吐,使價格再次下降到了1938美元的區間。 許多人擔心黃金今年可能再次遭遇2000美元大關的考驗,上一次出現這樣的高價還是在新冠肺炎疫情爆發初期。

儘管如此,白銀似乎與黃金沿襲著幾乎相同的趨勢,只是交易量有所不同。 貴金屬銀本周同樣創造了25.600美元的高點。 白銀價格目前在25.000美元區間波動。 如果目前的情況持續下去,白銀的價格今年可能會達到30.000美元。

最後,大家可能忍不住要問:這些大宗商品在本周達到新高價后,目前是否超賣? 好吧,這個問題的最佳答案是”可能是,也可能不是”。 如果本周和平談判取得成功,俄烏危機戛然而止,對俄羅斯的所有制裁立即取消,則答案為”是的”。 但如果未來幾周局勢升級,答案則是否定的。 市場在這一點上確實非常反覆無常,為投資者提供了快速獲利的絕佳機會。 對希望快速獲利的交易者而言,大宗商品似乎是他們的心頭最愛。

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