差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

對中國經濟增長的擔憂導致原油陷入困境

中國人民銀行降息對油價造成損害,原油價格在 84.00 美元水平失足下跌。

USOIL–Daily-Chart-Oil-Stumbles

USOIL – 日線圖

原油目前交投於 80.57 美元,最初有可能跌至 78.00 美元的風險。

週二,中國經濟數據放緩加劇了人們的擔憂,即北京意外下調關鍵政策利率不足以重振該國在疫情陷入困境後的複蘇,油價下跌超過 1%。市場近期因中國刺激措施的預期而上漲,但房地產債務擔憂的捲土重來加劇了壓力。

過去幾週,沙特阿拉伯和俄羅斯的減產幫助油價上漲至 84 美元。然而,週二中國的工業產出和零售銷售數據顯示復甦正在放緩。

現在有擔憂稱,如果沒有額外的財政刺激,中國可能難以實現今年 5% 的增長目標。由於房地產市場惡化,巴克萊週二將中國 2023 年國內生產總值 (GDP) 預測下調至 4.5%。

分析師菲爾·弗林表示:“當銀行業不穩定時,石油也會變得更加不穩定,因為它對利率、貸款和經濟總體健康狀況非常敏感。”

中國經濟在煉油方面確實出現了增長,7月份同比增長17.4%。投資者目前正在等待美國原油庫存數據,路透社調查的分析師預計,截至 8 月 11 日當週供應量將減少約 210 萬桶。隨後將公佈週三的政府數據和最新的 FOMC 會議紀要。將進一步深入了解美聯儲的通脹策略。

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