差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

勞工節假期後美股成交量可能大幅回歸

週一是美國和加拿大的法定假日勞動節。這可能會產生一些波動,因為假期的流動性往往較低,然而,在美國,勞動節正式結束了與“夏季交易”相關的較低交易量。

US30: Daily Chart

US30日圖

在上週上漲之後,US30交易價為34837,35000點是下一個考驗,34000點是下行目標。

隨著交易員從一年一度的暑假歸來,我們可能會看到交易量增加和更大的波動,這些支撐位或阻力位中的一個或兩個都有可能被測試。

上週的美國經濟數據令人失望,失業率上升,GDP增長數據下降。然而,這增加了美聯儲暫停加息的可能性,這可能是利好消息。

本週三將密切關注ISM製造業數據,而新冠病毒重返新聞周期也應成為增長前景的一個擔憂。

人力資源公司ManpowerGroup的Becky Frankiewicz表示:“我們開始看到,勞動力市場正緩慢滑向更冷的狀態。毫無疑問:需求正在降溫。但這不是自由落體。”

就業正在失去一些勢頭的最新跡象可能會受到美聯儲的歡迎,美聯儲一直在試圖通過11次加息來冷卻通脹。美聯儲希望實現“軟著陸”,即在不引發經濟衰退的情況下,就業和經濟增長放緩到足以冷卻物價上漲的程度。經濟學家對美聯儲能否成功表示懷疑。

如果ISM製造業數據符合當前經濟放緩的基調,且沒有出現自由落體的情況,則可能提振股市。

美聯儲下次利率會議將於9月20日召開,市場將有近三週的時間來觀察進一步的經濟數據,以尋找下一步走勢的線索。本周美國財報清淡,只有幾家中型科技股公佈業績,因此交易員應該關注週二以後的成交量回歸,這可能會影響到最近假期的數據。

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