差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

香港股市可望結束近期的回調

過去兩個月,香港股市一直在調整,但這種調整可能即將結束。

HK 50 – Daily Chart

香港50日線圖

香港50指數在5月突破強勁下行阻力後出現回檔。反彈已經形成,目前的交易價格為18293點,該指數將有望向20000點的水平推進。

上週美國公佈的低於預期的通膨數據,增強了人們對聯準會將在9月會議上降息的預期。

地產股受到主要支撐,新鴻基地產和其他香港開發商上漲,因市場預期降息將提振該地區的房屋銷售。港幣盯住美元的匯率制度意味著,香港金管局必須根據聯準會的利率變動,上調或下調香港基準利率。

美國銀行股收益也暗示消費者支出放緩,借款人面臨壓力。這可能導致進一步降息,美國股市上週五反彈。

中國經濟成長數據將於週一公佈,這也可能提振股市。繼上個月的5.3%之後,今年的預測值為5.1%,但仍有可能出現比預期更好的結果。

中國執政黨本週也將召開第三次全體會議,討論經濟前景。這可能會為市場帶來正面的消息,可能會帶來進一步的房地產市場改革或支持。

中國相關部門上週也暫停了股市的賣空活動,這可能會在未來幾週提振股價。

未來一周美國也不會有什麼數據。然而,歐洲的利率決定可能會影響美元。

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