差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

黃金價格正面臨週圖頂部的阻力

本週金價飆升至每盎司2150美元,隨後又跌至每盎司2000美元,這是金價波動最大的一周之一。

Gold – Daily Chart

現貨黃金日圖

在這個區間內,金價的下一個目標可能是每盎司1811美元。 在阻力位上方的強勁推動將為更大的上漲打開大門。

最近幾週,投資人越來越相信,聯準會已成功控制了通膨,並可能最早於2024年3月開始削減借貸成本。

更高的利率會影響美國國債等資產的收益率,而這些資產會帶來投資。 但隨著近期利率的大幅下跌,國債需求減少。

另一個問題是,投資人認為美國正在降級,不再是曾經的財政避風港。 如果殖利率下降,美國公債將很難找到買家,Fed可能會推出重大刺激措施。

Sucden Financial的Daria Efanova表示:“緊縮週期結束的預期已被消化,這壓低了較長期收益率。這為黃金作為一種非收益資產創造了一個更為有利的環境。”

圍繞黃金的另一個問題是地緣政治前景。

「地緣政治風險環境似乎已經改變,」世界黃金協會的約翰•里德表示。 「不僅是俄羅斯和烏克蘭,不僅是以色列和加薩正在發生的可怕事情,還有美國和中國之間的貿易緊張局勢,對南中國海將發生什麼的擔憂,對中國將在台灣做什麼的 擔憂。”

摩根大通執行長傑米戴蒙最近表示,這可能是世界幾十年來最危險的時刻。

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