差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

黃金價格尋求聯準會決議確認

黃金價格等待聯邦公開市場委員會週三的利率決定,以進一步刺激價格走向。

XAUUSD: Weekly Chart

現貨黃金周圖

金價在1,932美元交投,阻力位在1,940美元和1,960美元,之後可能升向2,000美元。

預計聯準會將在周三將基準利率維持在22年高位,但也會在調查即將出爐的美國經濟數據時發出訊號,表示仍願意進一步收緊貨幣政策。

聯邦公開市場委員會在結束為期兩天的會議時,將利率維持在5.25-5.5%的20年高點。 自2022年3月以來,央行一直在升息,但許多分析師認為,今年稍後還會升息一次,2024年可能會降息。

週三的暫停可能會提振金價,即便通膨又有回落。 另一個潛在利多因素是有關美國政府因資金困難而再次關閉的傳言。 美國國債超過33兆美元,由於國會未能就資金條款達成一致,有可能導致政府關閉。

政府停擺可能會惡化股市人氣,並對已經面臨燃料價格上漲的經濟造成打擊。 今年8月,惠譽評級將美國主權債務評級從AAA下調至AA+,理由是美國的債務和支出問題。

本財年前11個月,美國政府的預算赤字達1.5兆美元,較去年增加60%。 利率的上升使得償還債務變得更加困難,共和黨政客們正在反對總統的支出計畫。

Peter G. Peterson Foundation執行長邁克爾彼得森表示:“未來十年利息成本將超過10萬億美元,這種複利財政週期只會繼續對我們的後代造成傷害。”

財政狀況將為金價提供支撐以及加息的暫停,黃金因收益率而表現不佳的狀況也可能在未來幾個月出現逆轉。

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