差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

金價在1700美元下方維持弱勢

金價未能從美國股市的反彈中得到提振,此前通脹數據給人見頂的希望。

現貨黃金周圖

xauusd chart

金價仍低於每盎司1700美元,在這種情況發生變化之前,空頭仍在掌控之中。

金價下跌的主要驅動因素之一是美元,美元下跌0.7%,金價也出現了類似的下跌。對美國進一步加息的預期打壓了金價。不過,股市反彈的部分原因是期權市場活動和空頭回補。

週五將公佈美國經濟的零售銷售和消費者信心數據。股市的持續風險上揚可能會將金價推回到每盎司1700美元的關鍵水平。在出現加息步伐放緩的明確信號之前,上述路徑最初可能會放緩。如果烏克蘭局勢升級,黃金也有可能上漲。

由於美元的飆升,黃金對其他貨幣的投資者來說表現不錯。據世界黃金協會的數據,黃金兌美元今年迄今下跌7.4%,但兌日元和英鎊分別上漲16.4%和12.3%。以土耳其里拉計算的黃金價格也上漲了30%,凸顯出黃金相對於今年處於壓力之下的其他貨幣的出色表現。

讓我們假設黃金今年只下跌了7%。在美元走強以及印度和中國經濟增長放緩等嚴重障礙的情況下,美元表現良好。英國債券市場的崩潰以及國際社會對美聯儲的壓力,可能會導致激進的加息在2022年第四季度結束。

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