差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

聚焦英鎊兌紐元隨數據公佈而波動

週三,英鎊兌紐元聚焦紐西蘭央行決議和英國通膨數據。

GBPNZD – Daily Chart

英鎊兌紐元-日圖

英鎊兌紐元在2.07找到支撐位,確認了上行趨勢支撐線。在2.095水平有進一步走強的阻力。

香港時間上午11點,紐西蘭央行舉行記者會,為這對貨幣對提供最初的波動。香港時間下午2點,英國公佈通膨數據。

英國核心通膨率預計將從4.2%放緩至3.6%,年通膨率預計將從3.2%大幅下降至2.1%。在新西蘭儲備銀行公佈最新貨幣政策之前,紐元小幅走低。然而,鷹派言論可能會提振紐元。

紐西蘭財政部一直對經濟前景持悲觀態度,稱由於零售支出下降和各行業的商業活動放緩,「看不到拐點」。信貸數據疲軟和房地產市場放緩也損害了紐西蘭經濟。

根據市場研究機構Kantar的數據,英國5月的食品雜貨通膨連續第15個月下降,達到了2021年10月以來的最低水準。在截至5月12日的四周內,年度食品雜貨價格通膨率為2.4%,低於上月的3.2%。

上個月公佈的英國官方數據顯示,受食品通膨放緩至4%的推動,3月消費者物價通膨率降至3.2%。

國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)表示,英國今年仍有可能進行三次降息。週三公佈的數據可能會考驗這一點。更高的通膨數據可能會推動英鎊進一步升值。

總部位於華盛頓的國際貨幣基金組織表示,英國央行降息存在「延遲」的風險,這表明利率水準需要降低0.75%。

儘管通膨預計將在周三非常接近英國央行2%的目標,但預計會出現波動,在2025年「持久」達到2%之前,將在一年內上升。英國央行總裁貝利也表示,他預計4月通膨將”大幅下降”。

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