差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

德國通脹公佈前,歐元/美元正測試關鍵阻力位

歐元兌美元即將迎來德國通脹數據的發布,匯價將測試一個關鍵水平。

歐元兌美元已跌破1.0735關口,隨著歐洲最大經濟體德國通脹疲弱,歐元兌美元可能進一步跌至低點。

歐元/美元日圖

EURUSD– Daily Chart

接下來的支撐位在1.065附近的移動均線所在,如果失去支撐位,可能進一步看低至1.050,並可能邁向連續五天的收跌。

德國的通貨膨脹率預計將從上個月的8.6%上升到8.9%。較低的數據可能會降低歐洲央行在近期採取強硬態度後加息的預期。

歐洲央行行長拉加德上週四表示,即使超出了3月份加息的預期,“我們知道我們還沒有結束,將堅持以穩定的速度大幅提高利率”。

“現在你會說,‘好吧,但三月以後呢?這是否意味著你已經達到了頂峰?她補充道。“不,不,我們知道還有很多事要做我們還沒有結束。 ”

美元週五將公佈本週最後一項經濟數據,即密歇根州消費者信心指數。美元一直受到美聯儲主席鮑威爾的支持,他表示美國經濟的“反通脹進程”已經開始。不過,要讓通脹率回到2%的目標水平,可能還需要進一步加息。

分析師們一直在焦急地等待鮑威爾的講話,此前市場因美國經濟1月份的就業報告而下跌。他們曾預計,在如此強勁的勞動力市場背景下,鮑威爾將採取鷹派立場。鮑威爾說:“例如,如果我們繼續得到強勁的勞動力市場報告或更高的通脹報告,我們很可能不得不採取更多行動,加息幅度超過市場預期。”

鮑威爾補充說:“我的猜測是,(加息)肯定不僅會持續到今年,而且會持續到明年,才能將利率降至接近2%。”

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