差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

通脹數據衝擊加密貨幣市場,比特幣跌破 6 萬美元

週四,美聯儲首選的通脹指標升至 2023 年以來的最高水平,加劇了加密貨幣市場的壓力,比特幣價格跌破 6 萬美元。截至美國東部時間 17:53,比特幣下跌 1.7%,至 59,936.45 美元,同時現貨比特幣 ETF 的資金流出加速。

BTCUSD_2026-06-26_09-56-06

市場概覽

比特幣(BTC/USD)仍接近 6 月初觸及的一年半低點,延續了此前受美國利率預期收緊、零售需求疲軟以及資金轉向人工智慧相關股票等因素推動的拋售行情。

一位數字資產分析師在週四的評論中表示:「市場首先將此視為利率衝擊,其次才是加密貨幣市場的問題。ETF 贖回正在將宏觀經濟波動轉化為倉位問題。」

通脹觸發因素

5 月份核心個人消費支出價格指數上漲 0.3%,同比上漲 3.4%,創下自 2023 年底以來的最高年度核心讀數。綜合 PCE 指數同比上漲 4.1%,主要受中東動盪局勢導致的能源成本上升推動。

這些數據強化了市場預期,即美聯儲可能會在通脹持續擴大的情況下,將政策緊縮維持更長時間,或考慮再次加息。利率上升往往會對投機性資產構成壓力,因為這會提高現金和債券的吸引力,同時降低對加密貨幣等無收益資產的需求。

ETF 資金流動與需求

現貨比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)週三錄得 4.69 億美元的資金流出,創下自 6 月 2 日以來最大單週贖回量。這些產品已連續第七週出現贖回,顯示在早前資金流入支撐市場後,機構需求正在降溫。

市場參與者援引 Glassnode 數據指出,與全球平均水平相比,比特幣在 Coinbase 上的交易價格存在折價,顯示美國散戶買盤動能有限。這一點尤為重要,因為自受監管的比特幣基金開放更多資金進入該資產類別以來,現貨 ETF 與美國交易所活動已成為衡量市場情緒的關鍵指標。

人工智慧輪動

加密貨幣下跌的原因之一,是投資者將資金轉向被視為人工智慧支出熱潮直接受益者的公司。美光科技(MU)在財報強勁後帶動晶片與記憶體類股上漲,但由於蘋果(AAPL)拖累科技股,美國大盤指數收盤漲跌互現。

加密貨幣市場普遍反應

通脹報告發布後,主要代幣普遍下跌。以太坊(ETH/USD)下跌 2.5% 至 1575.49 美元,幣安幣(BNB)下跌 0.6%,瑞波幣(XRP)下跌 3.2%。

索拉納(SOL)和卡爾達諾(ADA)分別下跌 1.1% 和 2.2%。狗狗幣下跌 1.8%,特朗普代幣(TRUMP)下跌 3.3%。

展望

交易員將關注比特幣能否重返 6 萬美元關口、ETF 資金流出是否放緩,以及美聯儲官員如何解讀最新通脹數據。油價、關稅帶來的價格壓力,以及人工智慧股票上漲行情的持續性,也將影響未來幾個交易日的風險偏好。

關於作者

 

Martin Lam 是 ATFX 亞太區首席分析師,在全球外匯及投資市場擁有逾 20 年的經驗。他畢業於迪肯大學(Deakin University),主修金融與經濟學,並曾在多家領先的外匯經紀公司擔任高級管理職位。

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