差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元/美元在FOMC 會議紀要後值得關注的點位

在美聯儲會議紀要暗示再次加息後,歐元/美元下跌以測試初步支撐位。

EURUSD: Daily Chart

歐元/美元:日線圖

歐元/美元正在測試初步回調位1.0850,強支撐位在1.0675。再往下是1.0525水平。

FOMC 會議紀要的一些要點:

“在討論政策前景時,所有與會者繼續預計,由於通脹仍遠高於委員會 2% 的目標,且勞動力市場仍然非常緊張,維持貨幣政策的限制性立場將符合實現委員會的目標。幾乎所有與會者在經濟預測中指出,判斷2023年進一步上調聯邦基金目標利率是適當的”。

聯邦公開市場委員會的與會者還討論了通脹失控並走高的潛在風險。

“幾乎所有與會者都表示,由於通脹仍遠高於委員會的長期目標,且勞動力市場依然緊張,通脹前景的上行風險或持續高通脹可能導致通脹預期失控的可能性,這些因素仍是塑造政策展望的關鍵因素。

因此,FOMC 中的鷹派人士希望在 7 月份再次加息,但美聯儲多數派決定暫停觀察進一步的數據發布。

目前市場認為7月份有可能加息,除非數據發生重大變化。最新的就業市場數據將於本週五發布,就業和工資是維持利率水平的關鍵原因。

另一個影響利率水平的問題是決策者們看到貨幣市場利率上升的壓力,這是由於債務上限僵局之後將需要大量發行國債。

官員們還擔心銀行體系面臨進一步壓力,他們表示:

“儘管銀行業的壓力有所緩解,但一些與會者評論說,重要的是要監測銀行業的發展是否會導致信貸條件進一步收緊並拖累經濟活動。”

最後,央行的經濟學家繼續預計今年晚些時候將出現“輕微衰退”。

“實際GDP預計將在本季度和下一季度放緩,然後在今年第四季度和明年第一季度小幅下降”。

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