差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

德國通脹公佈,歐元/日元可能測試阻力位

歐元/日元匯率正在上升,並可能在德國通脹數據公佈後測試阻力。

EURJPY – Daily Chart

歐元/日元日圖

歐元/日元在143.72附近交投,在進一步上測146之前有阻力。

德國將於明天公佈通脹數據,預期從8.7%升至7.3%。這將是一個大幅下降,而且這個數字可能會低於預期。

目前的路徑是走高,但交易員應該關註一個頑固的通脹數據,就像最近英國發布的數據一樣,該數據保持在10%以上。

更高的數字將給歐洲央行在利率方面施加壓力。在近期銀行業不穩定之後,央行政策制定者試圖放慢加息步伐。

美國企業研究所最近寫道:

拉加德不得不在當前歐元區經濟外圍國家政府比2010年歐元區主權債務危機時負債更多的情況下提高利率。這種更加強硬的利率政策,加上轉向量化緊縮,現在有可能引發新一輪歐元區債務危機。 ”

歐元/日元今日預測

日本央行在幕後悄無聲息地採取行動,保持低利率,並略微提高了收益率曲線控制措施的上限。交易員認為這預示著短期內將出現轉機。不過,亞洲銀行可以從最近美歐銀行業動盪中受益。

日本財務大臣鈴木俊一最近在議會上說,日本銀行發行的AT1債券沒有類似於瑞士信貸170億美元債務的條款。日元可能受益於銀行體系的進一步不穩定,而歐元可能無法保持近期的漲勢。

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