差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

隨著德國GDP公佈在即,歐元兌英鎊承壓

歐元兌英鎊匯率疲軟,可能會因德國經濟數據而測試近期低點。

EURGBP – Weekly Chart

歐元英鎊-週線圖

歐元兌英鎊之前的支撐位在0.85下方80點的距離。 在上週週線圖上的拋售之後,這可能是本週的目標。

香港時間週一下午5點將公佈德國GDP數據,這可能會推動歐元走低。 2022年,德國經濟年增率為1.9%,但隨著利率上升,德國經濟成長率已降至-0.3%。 全球經濟疲軟也損害了該國原本強勁的出口經濟。

週四也是一個重要的數據發布日,德國通膨數據將於香港時間下午3點公佈,英國就業數據也將公佈。 ZEW對德國和歐洲的看法將於下午6點公佈。

通貨膨脹率預計將再次從3.7%上升到3.2%。 英國失業率預計將上升1個基點。

人們的注意力將繼續集中在利率上,但這次,聚焦的是英國和歐洲央行的降息。 這些國家降息的速度可能會刺激經濟更好地成長,並提振本國貨幣匯率。

歐洲央行首席經濟學家菲利普·萊恩認為短期內不會降息。

“12月的通膨數據大體上證實了我們在12月會議上的評估和預測,”萊恩說,並補充說,官員們“將關注即將到來的數據”,但表示降息不是“一種短期主題” 。

“當我們有了足夠的信心,確信我們正堅定地回到2%的通膨水平時”,降息的話題“將成為首要議題”。

歐洲央行行長拉加德也持類似立場,她說:

「我認為,除非出現進一步的衝擊或意外數據,否則利率不會繼續上升。如果我們戰勝了通貨膨脹,如果我們確信通貨膨脹率確實會在2%,到那時利率就會開始下降。”

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