差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元兌英鎊等待央行的雙重聲明指引

週四,歐洲央行和英國央行將公佈利率決定。

EURGBP – Daily Chart

歐元兌英鎊-日圖

歐元兌英鎊交易於0.8617,支撐位在0.8550和0.8518,在0.8750水平較長的阻力路徑。

分析師稱,歐洲央行料下調經濟成長和通膨預估,但維持利率不變。

分析師預計,儘管有跡象顯示歐洲央行在對抗通膨方面取得了進展,但仍將維持其關鍵利率不變。 歐洲經濟正蹣跚走向疫情以來的首次衰退。 根據彭博社報道,預計今年最後幾個月經濟將連續第二季萎縮。

預計9月至12月的收縮幅度為0.1%,低於先前維持產出不變的預測。

摩根士丹利分析師預計,歐洲央行將把2023年的GDP成長預期從9月公佈的0.7%下調至0.5%。 預計歐洲央行將2024年的預期從1.0%下調至0.8%,同時維持2025年的預期不變。

“儘管通膨方面有很多好消息,但歐洲央行可能仍會保持謹慎,”以Jens Eisenschmidt為首的摩根士丹利分析師表示。

週三,官方數據顯示,英國GDP意外下降0.3%,對經濟衰退的擔憂也再次回到英國。 這應該會突顯出投資人的預期,即英國央行將像上個月那樣將利率穩定在5.25%,甚至可能開始像聯準會一樣討論降息。

倫敦金融城的經濟學家原本預計當月產出將持平,一位分析師表示,經濟衰退預警指標再次「亮起紅燈」。 由於極端天氣,該國月度經濟下滑進一步惡化,因此過去三個月經濟沒有任何進展。

國家統計局主任達倫摩根說:「我們的初步估計表明,過去三個月的GDP成長持平。以工程、電影製作和教育為主導的服務業成長——從夏季罷工的影響中恢復過來— —被製造業和住宅建築業的下滑所抵消。”

在香港時間週四晚上8點和晚上9點15分央行公佈決議後,交易者應該關注市場的反應,因為這些決定可能決定歐元兌英鎊未來一周的走勢。

在香港時間週五下午4點30分,德國也有重要的製造業數據公佈,預計將在上月42.5的基礎上改善至43.2。

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