差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

人民幣兌美元匯率尋底

上週,我們看到人民幣對美元的升值,價格正在確認底部。

CNHUSD – Weekly Chart

人民幣兌美元-週圖

人民幣兌美元匯率反彈至0.1364水平,並在0.1375附近設置阻力位,以便進一步走高。

中國的通膨率於香港時間上午9:30公佈,預計為0.4%,高於前位數的0.3%。

中國即將在下週召開的三中全會上召開一次重要的政策會議。這個以公佈長期政治和經濟改革而聞名的論壇對市場來說是一個至關重要的事件。雖然重大舉措可能不在此次會議的議程上,但市場仍有可能看到一些動作,尤其是在大宗商品市場。

匯豐首席大宗商品經濟學家Paul Bloxham表示:「我們正在觀察房地產、基礎設施和製造業的進展。」花旗集團預計,三中全會將為電網和清潔能源投資提供進一步支持,並為房地產市場提供額外幫助。中國對石油的需求也將是關鍵問題。

中國的通膨數據將在聯準會主席鮑威爾在國會為期兩天的證詞期間公佈。鮑威爾最近關於美國不會馬上降息的聲明已經影響了市場,他的進一步言論可能會影響市場情緒。

鮑威爾說:“美聯儲已經聲明,我們不認為降低聯邦基金利率的目標範圍是合適的,直到我們對通膨持續向2%移動有更大的信心。”

「然而,最近的通膨數據顯示出了一些溫和的進一步進展,更多的良好數據將增強我們的信心,即通膨正持續向2%的方向發展,」他補充說。

投資人可能仍走在了前面,認為聯準會9月會降息。下週召開的中國三中全會可能是推動美元兌人民幣在這些支撐位和阻力位附近的重要因素。

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