差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

中國股市等待通脹和全國代表大會指引

在周四美國公佈通脹報告前,中國股市週三再次下跌。

全球股市還等待FOMC會議紀要公佈,德國和美國的通脹數據將於週四出爐。

CHI50週圖

chi50 chart

週圖顯示,上證綜指正在測試3月以來的關鍵支撐位12,600點,因此數據和會議將是該指數的重要指引

中國全國代表大會將於週日召開為期一周的會議。

下週,由於會議可能包括經濟刺激措施或商業改革,CHI50指數將給交易員帶來一些波動。

中國仍然受到持續的零疫情政策的影響,經濟數據加劇了全球危機。加拿大皇家銀行表示,在經濟持續放緩的情況下,油價明年可能跌至每桶60美元。

“這是一個需求疲軟的故事,”加拿大皇家銀行表示,比預期更頑固的通脹對消費者需求造成了嚴重破壞,中國不願從阻礙消費的新冠肺炎政策轉向美聯儲采取快速行動和打破局面的過度行動。

“這種宏觀威脅已成為現實,並導致類似衰退的背景,隨著投資者尋求安全避風港,風險資產類別之間的相關性急劇上升。”

當前衝擊全球股市的主題可能會在本周繼續,因為中國已經暗示將保持新冠肺炎戰略。週四將公佈的中國通脹數據,以及隨後公佈的德國和美國通脹數據,可能意味著交易員預計國加息的重心會過早轉向。

國際貨幣基金組織已經將世界第二大經濟體2022年的GDP增長預期下調至3.2%,略低於此前預測的3.3%。將中國明年的經濟增長預期從4.6%下調至4.4%,這幾乎是2021年8.1%增速的一半。

在周日之前,要關注週四的通脹數據,因為德國上月的通脹率創下10%的紀錄,遠超預期。如果德國和美國的數據上升,可能會削弱本已疲弱的全球股市環境。

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