差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

中國服務業PMI指數發布

中國將於週四發布財新服務業PMI數據。

CHI 50 - Weekly Chart

CN50 -週線圖

CN50指數似乎跟隨全球股市走低,目前支撐位在12390-13000點,這對上升趨勢至關重要。

3月財新製造業採購經理人指數為51.2,低於預期的50.6和2月的50.8。在此之前,週一的「官方」調查也顯示,3月製造業成長強於預期。

美國市場通常會受中國經濟實力的影響,但關稅對前景產生了影響。週四將公佈服務業數據,預計讀數為51.6。

中國經濟面臨不確定的時期,因為出口占其GDP的20%,貿易衝擊將產生重大影響。工廠正在尋找新客戶來銷售他們的產品,避開美國,但由於海外消費主義沒有蓬勃發展,這可能很難做到。

最新的PMI數據表明,在政府刺激措施的推動下,中國經濟正在改善,但現在將受到關稅的影響。中國股市最近的任何上漲都是由科技股推動的,而不是支持其他新興市場。

瑞銀集團駐倫敦的新興市場研究主管Manik Narain表示,中國的優異表現是「受到科技驅動的具體推動,消費從投資轉向消費,這對其他新興市場國家不太可能產生巨大的溢出影響」。 “這不是2009年、2016年和2020年的經典中國劇本,後者最終演變成更廣泛的新興市場復甦。”

最近經濟出現了亮點,但川普的貿易戰可能會損害最近的復甦。

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