差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

聚焦本週加央行利率決議

加拿大央行定於週三更新其貨幣政策立場。關於是否會將目前3.75%的利率上調25個基點或50個基點存在爭議。不過,加元交易員可能會從這番言論中獲益。

加拿大當前基準利率為3.75%,在主要國家中名列前茅,僅次於新西蘭儲備銀行和美聯儲的關鍵利率。無論加拿大央行是否決定加息50個基點,它都可能分別加息至與目前美國或新西蘭利率相當的水平。

如果投資者更關注美聯儲在2023年之前的貨幣政策意圖措辭上的大幅收斂,他們可能會發現模棱兩可的鷹派立場很快就會陷入困境。這是因為美聯儲的前景基調相似,市場對美聯儲下週決定的預期將很快轉移,從而影響加元進一步上行。

USDCAD daily chart

美元/加元日圖

美元兌加元已經連續4天走高,達到11月初以來的最高水平。加拿大銀行今晚將討論利率問題。市場對具體的加息有不同的預期。加拿大央行是否會提及明年初加息的“暫停按鈕”,值得關注。如果發生這種情況,加元向下壓力加大。

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