差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

澳元/日元即将迎来就业和通胀数据

澳元/日元将迎来经济数据,澳大利亚就业数据在周三开盘前公布,一天后公布日本的通胀数据。

AUDJPY – Daily Chart - employment data

澳元/日元 – 日线图

由于澳大利亚央行停止加息,澳元/日元在上个月遭受重创。 该货币对目前交投于 94.00,距离下方支撑位还有100个点的距离,本周可能会测试该水平。

澳大利亚经济新增就业岗位预计将从 3.26 万减少至 1.5 万。 失业率也可能从 3.5% 升至 3.6%。 根据澳大利亚统计局的数据,6月份失业率达到3.5%,这是一个显著的成就。

强劲的劳动力市场和不断上升的通胀迫使澳大利亚储备银行(RBA)将利率上调至4.10%,但最近已暂停。 随着物价涨幅较小,澳大利亚央行还密切关注劳动力市场,这意味着交易员也将其作为一个重要指标。

如果该数字接近预期的 15k 大关,那么澳大利亚央行将不会采取行动,澳元可能会再次下跌。

日本经济将于周三的亚洲时段结束后公布最新通胀报告,交易员预期通胀率为 2.5%,低于上月的 3.3%。 但由于 GDP 远高于预期,表示物价仍有余温继续高企。

日本经济在 4 月至 6 月期间表现强劲,汽车出口和游客人数健康增长,抵消了全球经济疲软的影响。 但全球经济衰退风险仍隐约可见,中国房地产面临额外压力,这可能会提振日元的避险情绪。

目前的趋势将有利于澳元/日元汇率再次走低,但未来两天的数据将证实这一点。 日本物价走势超出预期甚至可能引发货币政策收紧的猜测。

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