差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

ATFX第四季度市场展望及策略指南

随着2024年第四季度的开始,最新一期的ATFX交易杂志发布了,ATFX的顶级市场分析师分享了他们对不断变化的金融环境的观察和预测。ATFX亚太区首席分析师Martin Lam强调了地缘政治紧张局势、预期的央行降息和经济变化将如何影响货币价值和投资者情绪,从而推动对黄金和债券等避险资产的兴趣。

ATFX中东和北非市场分析师Dr. Mohamed Nabawy预测,尽管美国股市近期有所反弹,但其仍将面临挑战,预计经济增长率为 2.6%,同时通胀和失业率也将保持关键趋势,尤其是在总统大选之前。在欧洲,通胀下降带来了挑战和机遇,促使欧洲央行考虑进一步降息。技术分析显示,德国DAX指数和FTSE 100指数可能呈现看涨势头。

ATFX澳大利亚首席市场分析师Nick Twidale提供了受国内指标和全球趋势影响关于澳元的见解。

ATFX全球首席市场策略师Gonzalo Canete预计,由于英国央行预计将降息,英镑将走弱。他观察到,墨西哥最近在高通胀和适度GDP增长的情况下下降低了利率,而美元走强可能会限制比索的涨幅。Canete还指出,日本通胀上升和经济增长停滞,这表明在日本央行加息的情况下,可能会出现滞胀局面,从而提振日元。

ATFX越南市场分析师Lucas Nguyen指出,欧元区显示出积极迹象,通胀率降至2.2%,而加拿大核心通胀率仍低于2%,有可能导致更积极的货币宽松政策。

在亚洲,日本央行加息或将推动日元升值。与此同时,ATFX 环球市场(亚太区)分析师Jessica Lin探讨了贵金属的前景,她认为大幅降息可能推高金价。

ATFX菲律宾市场分析师Gab Santos对油价的预测表明,美国需求将增加,但价格预期将下调。而ATFX高级市场分析师(中东和北非)Gabi Dahduh则指出,受比特币减半等事件的推动,加密货币市场波动剧烈。

最后,ATFX 环球市场(亚太区)策略师Jason Tee强调,交易者需要保持结构化的交易日志,以有效应对市场波动,并重点关注目标、风险管理和持续的绩效评估。

总体而言,积极和适应性的投资策略将是交易在2024年第四季度不断变化的环境中取得成功的关键。欲了解更多深入见解,请务必下载ATFX的交易杂志。

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