差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

美元指数在动荡中走强,有望延续反弹

美元在年初经历了历史性的疲软后,近期获得支撑,并有望进一步走高。

美元指数(USDX)日线图

美元指数在关键支撑位 97.919 附近获得支撑,目前正有望向 100.00 关口发起冲击。

如果美元从当前水平继续上行,可能会对比特币以及黄金等大宗商品价格造成压力。在此前因关税动荡导致的市场震荡中,美元创下自 1973 年以来最疲软的年初表现。

据报道,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普正在寻求对来自欧盟的进口商品征收更高的关税,这将影响在8月1日关税生效前的谈判进程。《金融时报》称,特朗普希望在任何协议中对欧盟商品至少征收15%至20%的附加关税。他还威胁称,从8月起将对欧盟商品征收高达30%的关税,并对铜、医药和半导体等特定行业实施额外关税。

如果欧元区决定反制,这可能会重新点燃年初的贸易纷争。

《金融时报》援引一位欧盟高级外交官的话说:“我们不希望爆发贸易战,但我们也不知道美国是否会给我们留下其他选择。”

当前美元面临的另一个不确定因素,是特朗普对美联储主席鲍威尔的持续批评。不过,特朗普最近表示“极不可能”会解雇鲍威尔,这在一定程度上支撑了美元的走势。

此外,美国顽固的通胀数据也使得市场推迟了对降息的预期。未来几天美国的经济数据发布较少,主要关注的是周四晚间公布的服务业和制造业PMI数据,这或许会为美元提供继续反弹的空间。

另一方面,乌克兰方面表示已向俄罗斯提出新的和平谈判提议,相关消息也可能影响美元和黄金的走势。

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