差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

交易员对比特币的下一步走势看法不一

比特币的反弹已将价格推高至9.1万美元,但交易员对比特币的下一步走势看法不一。

BTCUSD – 4H Chart

比特币4H图

比特币的价格已经从极度恐慌的抛售反弹到8万美元的水平,现在的关键阻力位在98500美元左右。200移动平均线略高于此值,为10万美元。

比特币最近的反弹很强劲,但这可能是对一段非常强劲的抛售期的反应。分析师们现在对比特币的下一步走势持不同看法。

CryptoQuant称,随着比特币在Coinbase上的价格达到80600美元,11月21日的外汇流入量达到了9000美元的峰值。当加密货币交易所的资金流入增加时,通常是投资者准备出售他们的代币的迹象。

该公司的数据显示,发送到交易所的比特币总数中有45%来自100比特币或更多的大额存款。这是一个警告,许多大型鲸鱼投资者正在向交易所发送代币,预期会卖出。

分析师表示:“这表明投资者和交易员在当前价格下跌的背景下继续抛售比特币,给比特币价格带来了进一步的下行压力。”

CryptoQuant周三还指出,币安的稳定币储备达到了创纪录的510亿美元,这也是其历史最高水平,这也意味着投资者正在撤资。

分析师James Check也指出,一些剩余的杠杆尚未从市场中清除。他表示:“如果我们进入7万至8万美元的区间,以冲掉最后的杠杆口袋,我们不会太惊讶。”

然而,矿业利润率较低被视为乐观的一个理由。比特币矿工的利润率目前仅为4.9%,是本轮周期中最低的水平之一。低利润率以前是一种稳定力量,而不是压力信号。随着盈利能力放缓,效率低下的矿商往往会消失,从而缓解供应压力。

随着价格走向10万美元,在未来一周很重要,并可能决定今年年底的价格。

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