差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

新西兰央行确认降息后,纽元兑日元谨慎等待日本央行

周三,新西兰央行和日本央行将成为焦点,新西兰央行公布利率决定,日本央行行长将发表讲话。

NZDJPY – Daily Chart

纽元兑日元-日线图

纽元兑日元目前处于2022年底以来的支撑位。这将是下一步走势的关键决定因素,如果没有买盘出现,可能会指向75.24。

自2024年以来,由于日本央行在利率方面采取了更强硬的态度,新西兰元兑日元汇率大幅下跌。

周三纽元和日元之间的利率差异进一步明确。新西兰储备银行的利率决定于香港时间上午10点公布,央行确认降息25个基点至3.5%。

下午2点,日本央行行长植田和男将发表讲话。

新西兰央行在周三降息25个基点,随后还可能进一步降息,因为交易员认为关税对该国出口构成了不利因素。

自去年8月以来,央行已经将利率下调了200个基点,行长奥尔为4月和5月的降息留有余地。

新西兰央行在2月份的会议上表示,“存在贸易壁垒增加和地缘经济更广泛分裂的风险”,“贸易限制的增加可能会减少新西兰的经济活动”。

美国总统特朗普宣布了对等关税,对新西兰征收10%的关税。太平洋国家不打算报复,因为他们从美国的进口是有限的。

然而,关税可能会损害包括澳大利亚和中国在内的新西兰主要贸易伙伴的经济增长。如果全球经济增长前景更加悲观,新西兰央行可能会继续倾向于降息,市场预计新西兰的现金利率将达到2.75%,而一周前为3%。

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